POLITICAL PREDICTIONS

POLITICAL PREDICTIONS - THE VISIONS OF POWER


Ever since the begining of civilisations and maybe long before, predictions were used to dominate rule and make war.

Cave-paitings, and hunting scenes were drawn ten thousands of years ago before and after the huntings, to predict and depict these activities.

Ancient civilisations never went at war before having a prediction.

The coming of prophets, holly ages and the end of the world are predicted in every religion and believe.

Predictions are now more than ever the central point of interest in every political event.

The 20 and the 21 century are the scenes of the biggest changes in the human history.


PREDICTIONS, ANALYSIS,DEPICTIONS, PROBABILITIES ?

When analysis are not accurate and they are not most of the time, they become predictions.

But when predictions are not happening, and they are not most of the time, they are doomed to

mockery.
Never predictions is considered science, but also never analysis can be considered exact science.
So outcomes of both procedures can be labeled probabilities, which is in my opinion pseudo-science even though it is considered part of the math curses.

Why these three domains of human activities are not accurate?
Because when they deal with human behavior they simply cannot have accurate results.
Nerveless human mind will continue predict, analyze and make probabilities.


THE 20 CENTURY WORLDWIDE POLITICAL PREDICTIONS


These predictions are general and took place in the last century. Their respective  output still true now.

Themes or values that prevailed at the beginning of an historical epoch often give way to their opposite as the epoch comes to an end.
 New civilizations produce new institutions of power as functions once handled informally become organized, detach as separate power centers, and assert political and cultural dominance.

The doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) assumes that each side has enough nuclear weaponry to destroy the other side; and that either side, if attacked for any reason by the other, would retaliate without fail with equal or greater force. The expected result is an immediate irreversible escalation of hostilities resulting in both combatants' mutual, total and assured destruction.

The doctrine further assumes that neither side will dare to launch a first strike because the other side will launch on warning (also called fail-deadly) or with secondary forces (a second strike), resulting in unacceptable losses for both parties. The payoff of the MAD doctrine is expected to be a tense but stable global peace.

The chief danger, threatening civilization itself, seems to be that infernal selfishness called by pseudo-philosophers “individualism.” In social life it leads to anarchy, in home politics to party-preying, in international politics to wars, conquests and land-grabbing

The chief danger which confronts the coming century is that the civilized world, which claims the right to impose its ideas on peoples that it calls uncivilized of insufficiently civilized, is itself without Faith, without Hope, and without Love.

It appears  that the great political danger in the beginning of the new century will be the collision of the Western powers in the East

The political danger of the future is the tendency of the enormous armies, fleets and military resources now accumulated by the powers worldwide

The greatest dangers that now seem to confront us are political corruption and the lust for gain and the unholy purposes to which it is perverted.

War and Peace

 The chief danger that confronts the coming century is a universal and violent coalition of those who have everything to gain against those who have nothing to loose.

Politically, the chief danger is the craze for expansion — big empires and the extinction of small but brave independent races and states.

The greatest political danger of the twentieth century is that the increasing influence of wealth will lead to increasing disregard of the inalienable rights of man.

“It is a fact that war on a great scale is becoming obsolete. Business and humanity combined are growing too powerful to permit the peace of the world to be seriously endangered except for very grave cause.” — anonymous.

There were people who predicted that the Soviet Union would eventually be dissolved before the process of dissolution began with the fall of the Berlin Wall in November 1989.


POLITICAL PREDICTIONS OF 21TH CENTURY


These predictions will occur because history repeats itself. Though  We are in a century where new methods are implemented in every human activity, Humans still humans and gread tends rto become more global then ever before.
So the tendency in politics,is money, liar-publicity and self esteem. The most coated will survive and win.

Conspiracy accusations will prevail

Culture will end politically controlled  as a big government  business seeking to protect intellectual property  exploiting citizens by appealing to their violent instincts. The entertainment media have trivialized political discussions and, to pay for television commercials, forced politicians to seek money from special interests.

We do not know what will be the "religion" of this epoch, a Liar-personality will be politically successful.

Civilizations follow a life cycle marked by growth and cultural creativity, adulthood, and decline marked by institutional violence .

conflict between between low level and high level have usually put low level in a positive role and reserved the villainous roles for high level.

Top government positions are open to persons of low birth

What goes up usually comes down. What is born dies. People fight for rank and position. Powerful interest groups try to protect. Prediction vision will perhaps be ourselves participating in it's fulfilling events.

Will  humankind  establish a viable and authoritative world government that will forever abolish war ?

For that Women Presidents will be elected all over the world
Because men will hide and inhibit their visions of war, Most jobs will Be around lying techniques.
Women will make more money than men.
It will be the Women century